Pacers vs. Bucks Game 5 Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 29

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The Indiana Pacers bring a 3-1 lead into a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Pacers are favored by 7.5 points in the matchup, which airs on NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN at 6 p.m. ET.

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Pacers vs. Bucks Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Pacers 117, Bucks 113.

  • Moneyline Pick: Pacers (-347)
  • Total Pick: Over 222 (computer predicts 230.0 points)
  • Pick ATS: Bucks (+7.5)

Recent Pacers vs. Bucks Matchups

Pacers vs Bucks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/27/2025 Bucks -3.5 226.5 -173 +145 129-103 IND
4/25/2025 Bucks -5 230 -209 +173 117-101 MIL
4/22/2025 Pacers -4 228 -178 +148 123-115 IND
4/19/2025 Pacers -6 227.5 -244 +198 117-98 IND
3/15/2025 Bucks -3.5 235.5 -165 +138 126-119 MIL
3/11/2025 Bucks -1 238.5 -114 -106 115-114 IND
12/31/2024 Bucks -2 229.5 -130 +109 120-112 MIL
11/22/2024 Bucks -5.5 235.5 -220 +181 129-117 MIL
5/2/2024 Pacers -6 217 -236 +191 120-98 IND
4/30/2024 Pacers -5 218.5 -200 +165 115-92 MIL
4/28/2024 Pacers -9.5 216 -413 +321 126-113 IND
4/26/2024 Pacers -6.5 223.5 -271 +219 121-118 IND
4/23/2024 Bucks -1.5 223.5 -115 -105 125-108 IND
4/21/2024 Pacers -1.5 230 -119 -101 109-94 MIL
1/3/2024 Bucks -3.5 257.5 -161 +137 142-130 IND
1/1/2024 Bucks -8.5 261.5 -348 +277 122-113 IND
12/13/2023 Bucks -6.5 258 -252 +204 140-126 MIL
12/7/2023 Bucks -5 257 -204 +169 128-119 IND
11/9/2023 Bucks -1.5 241.5 -126 +104 126-124 IND

Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Indiana has gone 38-43-1 ATS this season.
  • The Pacers are 7-12-1 against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • In Indiana's 82 games with a set total, 44 have hit the over (53.7%).
  • This season, the Pacers have won 34 out of the 49 games, or 69.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season, Indiana has won 17 of its 19 games, or 89.5%, when favored by at least -347 on the moneyline.

Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee's ATS record is 43-39-0 this season.
  • The Bucks have a 5-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have combined to hit the over in 43 of Milwaukee's 82 games with a set total.
  • The Bucks have been the underdog on the moneyline 26 total times this season. They've gone 11-15 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +275 or longer, Milwaukee has gone 2-5 (28.6%).

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Pacers vs. Bucks Injury Report

Pacers

Pacers:

Aaron Nesmith: Probable (Back),

Bennedict Mathurin: Questionable (Abdomen),

Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)

Bucks

Bucks:

Damian Lillard: Out For Season (Leg),

Tyler Smith: Day-To-Day (Ankle)

Pacers vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, April 29, 2025
  • Game time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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